China is rapidly electrifying and gets a lot of energy from non-US coal. China also sells renewables to other countries.

The US will be harmed far more than China by consistently high oil prices.

I suspect Hegseth and other officials will be replaced when Trump internalizes how unpopular this war is and needs a scapegoat to facilitate a pivot. He's already blaming other people in his administration for anything that's going wrong.

Even if his officials are ideologically stable and consistent, he himself isn't.

I don't think he cares? He's going to cash out after this and his donors will make sure he is paid handsomely for this. He can't run again and Israel just took 10% of Lebanon and is poised to be the great regional power. They're already talking about Turkey and Pakistan as the new threats... They will just keep moving the goalposts until it stops working. I have no clue where this ends, but Iran could end up buying a nuclear weapon from Pakistan if this keeps heating up.

lol he's been blaming everyone else since he was elected for any issue. He isn't the type of person to accept responsibility for anything.

That is kind of his style. And then we have "anti-war" voices like future president Tucker Carlson who refuses to say Trump's name when criticizing US foreign policy. It just gives him room to say "it wasn't my fault, aren't I great?"

Perhaps you joke, but does Tucker really have a chance at the Presidency?

He'd have a better chance than most.

>Perhaps you joke, but does Tucker really have a chance at the Presidency?

People had the same attitude about Trump. Tucker has millions of followers and regularly gets more viewers than CNN. He is also one of the only talking heads that isn't on Israel's propaganda payroll. I think he'd actually go far in the primaries if he ran. Whoever wins next will be whoever is the least cozy with Israel. Democrats still polling at all-time lows despite this. I think whoever distances themselves from Israel the most (democrat or republican) is going to be the winner. People see how AIPAC and donors like the Adelsons control our country and force us into wars that don't benefit us. There will absolutely be blow back from this.

While I agree with you that Americans (on both sides) are increasingly getting frustrated with American politicians' near-blind devotion to Israel, it will not translate to public eschewing of Israel in American politics. Elections are still won by money-power, and AIPAC supplies a lot of that.

I don't think so, he's too much of a nerd. He uses too much reasoning in his communication (I am not saying good or bad reasoning) which is not what people want, especially not today. Even someone like Bernie Sanders was successful because he struck a cord, his message was clear and didn't need too much explanation. Tucker is mostly trying to be the smartest person in the room, an intellectual. Too many voters are turned off by this. FWIW I expected Trump to win in 2016 based on similar things.

He will at the very least do very well in the next Republican Primary.

No they're not. They're going to continue making enormous amounts of money from corporate IT lock-in, Azure, and AI.

Windows' biggest competitor is iOS, and many people have stopped using Windows entirely and just rely on their phones. Microsoft has had record profits since that started happening.

Funny you mention iOS - my MegaCorp-issued iPhone has Microsoft entune for device management and Active Directory membership, Microsoft Authenticator for single sign-on, and really high quality versions of Microsoft office apps - Teams, Outlook, Word, Excel. Microsoft is all-in when comes to iOS.

Over Peak I had to update a shared Excel file on SharePoint each night - because as we all know, Excel is the finest multi-user database in existence. I had no problems doing that from my iPhone.

I've been unpleasantly surprised at how credulous journalists are when quoting AI CEOs about AI's capabilities. Jensen Huang has a multi-trillion dollar incentive to claim that AGI has been reached and is possibly the least-trustworthy person on the topic except for Sam Altman.

"Treat" != "cure"

I see more of these comments now but it's not enough that it's bothered me. I wonder why our experiences differ.

My observation of Epstein "mania" is that politicians are revealing themselves to not particularly care about children being sexualized.

The push for age verification seems to stem from conservative states trying to appear to care about children through symbolic gestures while cutting other funding and protections for children.

Conservative states? California passed this bill first! And it's on the docket in Colorado! This is weapons-grade dark money bullshit, not a blue-or-red problem.

"Used" seems to be a typo.

Being anti-Oxford comma is baffling. It's almost zero extra effort and reduces confusion.

Whether GP is low-info or not, HN guidelines say to assume the best of someone and not to insult them.

Calling people ignorant doesn't make them want to change their minds. It just makes them dislike you.